Jenneral HQ

The Waterloo <>Toronto Facebook Carpool Scene, 2015-2020

I'm trying to write a new post but it seems like every blog drafting client I use is full of old almost finished posts. Here's one from 2022 or so that I've cleaned up. I'm not entirely happy with it; I feel like I didn't do enough to justify my conclusion that the current status quo is worse, but I also don't want to work on this post anymore and done might be better than perfect.

I first moved to Waterloo from Toronto in September 2015, for university. For the first term, I used the chartered bus service ran by the undergraduate student union, which was called Fedbus. I think the rates were pretty good, something like $12 for a one way trip and $20 for a round trip. Chartered school buses would pick us up from campus and drop us off at a specific destination. Each destination had its own bus, so it was a direct route. There would typically be one trip offered on Friday evening, and another offered Sunday afternoon.

Taking the public transit option would have been the range of ~$16 one-way, and also an hour and a half longer (3.5 hours, compared to 2 hours), so using Fedbus was a no-brainer.

Over the first winter break, an upperclassman (family friend) clued me in to the carpool network. What this was was a Facebook group that had like 30,000 members1. On Fridays and weekend days there would be ~30 posts per day, with the majority being Toronto <> Waterloo routes. On weekdays, it would be more like 10 posts a day. Still, definitely enough to catch a ride to the city whenever you wanted, basically.

Self-indulgent BOTEC:

30 trips a day posted on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays (90 total)

10 Trips a day posted Mondays-Thursdays (40 total)

95% of the time, it was a full car - meaning 4 passengers and a driver. The other 5% Of the time there were 3 passengers. I've never travelled in a car less full than that, but perhaps the weekday trips would have more sparse passenger amounts. I'll set the average number of passengers per trip at 4.5.

That means ~585 people were using the carpools to travel on a weekly basis.

Riding in a car was a much more comfortable experience than the school buses, and also cut the trip down another 30 minutes (to 1.5 hours each way), so from then on like 95% of my intercity trips were through carpool.

There were a few conventions:

I would say there was something like a 10% reduction in activity every year between 1st and 4th year due to younger people being less likely to use Facebook. Still, it was very usable throughout the entirety of my undergrad2.

One week before finals season in my final term, the first covid lockdown happened. I moved back to my parents' place in Toronto to try to find a job. By the time I got an offer and moved back to Waterloo, one year later, the established culture had completely faded.

Prices went up, and the going rate was more like $20-25 per trip. This was fine, I think the $15 price basically stuck around due to inertia and was due for an upwards re-adjustment. (Now, $30-35 has become standard.) Postings became much fewer in number.

The worse thing was the loss of common knowledge around the default drop off and pick up points. Instead, the convention is now for "door to door" service. I find this to be awful! People have to drive to a bunch of suburban locations, and easily add 30-45 minutes to each trip on both ends, making what should be a 1.5 hour trip into a 3 hour one on a regular basis.

I think what happened was that during the pandemic, carpools became quite rare and restricted to only maybe one passenger, which meant that it both made sense for the price to be raised, and also providing door to door service instead of drop off/pick-up at a conventional schelling point made sense. This is just speculation though, I can't verify whether or not this is true.

But now it's normal again for there to be a full car of 3-4 carpoolers, and providing door to door service for all of them is very suboptimal now imo. It introduces quite a few frictions - the driver gives different ETAs for each person and then if one person is late it holds up the entire group, it doesn't save time on average, and the driver needs to learn a new route every time they pick up passengers, instead of just going to the same established mall plazas in city 1 to pick up all of their passengers, driving to the established plazas in city 2, and then heading off to their end destination.

This doesn't really matter though, because the posting rate has reduced to something like 1-2 a day, which means it's no longer viable to snag a seat for a ride in the very most optimal time for you3. Facebook's a ghost town these days!

At the same time, the province has invested a bit more into intercity transit, bringing the average trip length down to like 3 hours. Nowadays, I suck it up and take that instead.

#blog #longform